GDFL- The Run Home

Updated: July 22, 2014
Inverleigh star Blake Hutchinson will face the AFL Barwon Tribunal. Picture: VICKI KING
Inverleigh recruit Blake Hutchinson has been a key in the Hawks revival Picture: VICKI KING

Inverleigh recruit Blake Hutchinson has been a key in the Hawks revival Picture: VICKI KING

SEASON 2014 has provided plenty of twists and turns in the GDFL.

Reigning premier North Geelong and fellow 2013 grand finalist Bell Post Hill appear most likely to be gracing St Albans Reserve on September 13, however Inverleigh has proven it has the ability to match it with the Magpies and Panthers.

The battle at the bottom end of the five is also an intriguing one, with four teams fighting for two spots.

Here’s how K-ROCK sees the final four rounds unfolding.

Bell Post Hill (1st 13-1 195.35%)

Anakie (h), Winchelsea (a), Bannockburn (h), North Geelong (a)

The Panthers are well placed to claim their fourth flag in five seasons. Will need to beat North Geelong in Round 18 to secure the minor premiership as the Magpies superior percentage is likely to prove pivotal. 2008 Whitley Medal winner Shaun Lewis may prove to be an x-factor when he returns from suspension in Round 16.

Predicted finish: 2nd 16-2

North Geelong (2nd 12-2 203.40%)

Thomson (a), Werribee Centrals (h), Belmont Lions (a), Bell Post Hill (h)

The reigning premier will have a couple of comfortable wins over Thomson and Belmont Lions, and should take care of Werribee Centrals, to set-up a meeting for the minor premiership with Bell Post Hill in Round 18. The return of star forward Paul Bregeut from a serious knee injury, possibly as soon as this week’s clash with the Tigers, will be a welcome one.

Predicted finish: 1st 16-2

Inverleigh (3rd 10-4 136.79%)

Corio (a), Geelong West (a), Anakie (h), Winchelsea (h)

The Hawks are all but assured of returning to the finals for the first time since their audacious run to a preliminary final in 2011. However, Mark McDowell won’t be satisfied with anything less than the double-chance. Will rue a loss to Belmont Lions, but that will have them en guard for meetings with Corio, Geelong West and Anakie.

Predicted finish: 3rd 14-4

East Geelong (4th 9-5 142.45%)

Ricky O’Toole’s men have been the quiet achievers of 2014. The Eagles will play finals, it’s just a matter of whether they can steal the double-chance from Inverleigh. Will beat Geelong West and Anakie, however it’s toss of the coin after that.

Geelong West (h), Anakie (a), Winchelsea (h), Bannockburn (a)

Predicted finish: 4th 12-6

Winchelsea (5th 9-5 104.16%)

The Blues are also still an outside chance to sneak third spot, but have a tough run home. Meet an in-form Belmont Lions this week before tackling fellow top five sides Bell Post Hill, East Geelong and Inverleigh. Are unlikely to miss, but need a lot to go right to snatch the double-chance.

Belmont Lions (a), Bell Post Hill (h), East Geelong (a), Inverleigh (h)

Predicted finish: 5th 11-7

Bannockburn (6th 8-6 97.09%)

Werribee Centrals (h), Belmont Lions (h), Bell Post Hill (a), East Geelong (h).

Have proved they can match it with the big boys after pushing North Geelong for four quarters. Inferior percentage is going to hurt Craig McGough’s men. Face a challenging run home starting with Werribee Centrals in a virtual elimination final. May need to beat East Geelong in the final round to pinch fifth spot.

Predicted finish: 6th 11-7

Werribee Centrals (7th 7-7 118.30%)

Bannockburn (a), North Geelong (a), Thomson (h), Belmont Lions (h)

Need to beat one of Bannockburn or North Geelong away from home in the next fortnight to be any chance of playing finals. However, the Centurions have been far too inconsistent to see them knocking off Tigers or Magpies. Final round at home against Belmont Lions is no certainty either.

Predicted finish: 7th 9-9

Twitter: @tom_king79